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Saturday, January 09, 2010

THIS MIGHT HURT: Negative Campaigning: Tiresome, Persistent, Easy and Effective



THIS MIGHT HURT...
“Words are Tools; Words are Weapons.” – Douglas Castle
This Article written and © by Douglas Castle and originally published in THE NATIONAL NETWORKER™ Newsletter. All rights reserved. This article may be reproduced only in its complete form, inclusive of all hyperlinks, with full attribution to both the author and to the publication. For information about the author, go to Linked In/ Douglas Castle or to Douglas Castle’s Blog ; for information about the publication, go to THE NATIONAL NETWORKER™ Newsletter.



Dear Readers:

Negative campaigning unsettles and bothers all of us. Yet, the idea of promoting a person or idea not by his/her/its merits, but by the inadequacies of his/her/its alternative, is as popular and effective as it is universally but quietly detested. Then (you might ask), "Why does it work when everyone hates it (except for the people who get paid to create negative or hate-based promotions and campaigns)?"

Here are some of the reasons:

1. It is far easier to criticize and destroy than to create;

2. It is far easier to use the process of elimination than education;

3. It is far easier to crush than construct;

4. It appeals to our own feelings of inadequacy, of failure, and of chronic discontent;

5. It permits us to abdicate responsibility for our own fates and fortunes, and to place blame on someone or something else;

6. Quoting my third-grade teacher (as I often do), "misery loves company." We don't like to wallow alone. It is easier to bring others down than to hoist one's self up [I am suddenly sounding British];

7.
It is quite possibly hard-wired into our genetic make-up, reaffirmed consciously and subconsciously by generation after generation of Human experience, and continually reinforced by fame. So much so that too many people believe that "notoriety" is a good thing, and that it is synonymous with "noteworthy". Go to http://www.dictionary.com/ if you don't believe me. Really. Go ahead. I'll wait.

In ancient cultures, it was universally popular to offer sacrifices to appease gods or rulers. Whether it is a burnt offering, your only son, an entire race or culture -- scapegoating has always appeased the people. People place blame because it is easy to do and is a time-honored tradition. People sacrifice others either to a) deflect blame from themselves or b) because of a deeply embedded or encoded feeling of "I am a sinner. If I destroy something, the gods will see that I am sorry, and that I am repenting.

The Challenge, or your "action for the day" (as Rick Itzkowich, a friend and colleague, and the co-founder of QuoteActions) is: To speak and promote yourself, your products, your services and your ideas positively; based upon merit, endorsement, acceptance and camaraderie. If we were all to undertake this action cooperatively, collectively, collaboratively and consistently over time, I believe that we could literally change the Human Mindscape enough to overcome years of ceaseless and counterproductive negativism.

Would you like to have some fun? Would you like to see someone open his or her mouth like a hooked trout? Here's just the thing to do:

When someone approaches you or tries to appeal to you with a negative comment about someone else, say, "You seem to be an intelligent individual - what would you propose as an alternative, and why? I have a feeling that you've given this a great deal of thought and have some very creative ideas of your own."

The article (from Personal Liberty Digest) which inspired this piece appears below. I thought it supremely ironic that a publication would name someone "Conservative of the Year" for his criticism of the existing political leadership and administration. Imagine that! If I were enough of a critic of someone else, I could win an award. What does this say about all of us? Republican, democrat, black, white, christian, jewish, muslim, straight, gay, blue state, red state, tall, short, type A, type O? It doesn't matter -- if you are a Human Being (and 97% of my readers are), you'll be a bit disappointed by the statement that you will think of but which will likely remain unspoken. It's not about party affiliations, my friends. It is about methods and tactics.

Faithfully,

Douglas Castle
---------------------------------

Magazine Names Dick Cheney ‘Conservative Of The Year’

January 8, 2010 by Personal Liberty News Desk
Human Events magazine, a weekly conservative publication, has named former Vice President Dick Cheney ‘Conservative of the Year’ for his ongoing criticism of the Obama administration’s national security policy.
In a series of interviews and speeches since he left office, Cheney said Obama had put the country’s security at risk as a result of his national security decisions that largely contradicted Bush administration practices.
The magazine’s choice was explained in an article by John Bolton, former U.N. ambassador for President George W. Bush, who praised Cheney for attracting public attention to the fact that "we are in a long, continuing war against international terrorism," and stressing "the importance of sustaining and enhancing our defenses and capabilities against terrorism and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and the risks we face in letting our guard down."
Bolton also noted Cheney’s defense of waterboarding, Guantanamo Bay and domestic intelligence gathering.
However, Cheney’s recognition raised eyebrows among Democrats, with Democratic National Committee (DNC) press secretary Hari Sevugan asking, "What does it say about the current crop of Republican leaders that the ‘Conservative of the Year’ is the face of a previous administration who regularly scored approval ratings in the 20s?"
Human Events has styled itself as "headquarters of the conservative underground."
####
ADNFCR-1961-ID-19527004-ADNFCR

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Monday, January 04, 2010

RISK AND REALITY: Part 4: Updating Our Prediction, One Year Later -- After The Fall Of Lehman Brothers

Risk and Reality with Dr. Franco Oboni


http://www.riskope.com/

Where do we stand now?

A review of the recent world media and cursory gathering of factual data on jobs losses lead us to say that we are at the beginning of GP state (see definition above).

The U.S. unemployment rate increased to 9.5% by June 2009, the highest rate since 1983 and roughly twice the pre-crisis rate. It is now reportedly above 10%. Similar increases are happening in France and other European countries.

Several countries including the US are operating severe cuts in all non vital areas, health programs (let's see what will happen in the US), reduction of salaries (or benefits) of public officers. Protests, criminality increase, and some violence are rampant; as an example, the 2009 May Day protests, a series of international protests that have taken place across Europe, Asia and in the other parts of the world over the current global economic crisis turned violent in Germany, Turkey and Venezuela as riot police battled protesters in their respective countries.

[Series To Be Continued]

- This article was written by internationally-acclaimed risk evaluation expert Dr. Franco Oboni, and edited by Douglas Castle for The National Networker Newsletter.





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RISK AND REALITY: Part 3: Updating Our Prediction, One Year Later -- After The Fall Of Lehman Brothers


Risk and Reality with Dr. Franco Oboni


http://www.riskope.com/

Measurements of Magnitude


In the wake of the Lehman Brothers' unprecedented fall, as we had discussed previously, we decided to conduct a risk assessment of the potential for various factors relating to the probability of a domino-effect recession throughout the world. In the previous issues we talked about our prediction of the length and other impact variables of the recession which were to follow the catastrophic event. In this issue, we don't have to talk about the likelihood of the "earthquake." We want to talk about its severity, i.e. -- just how deep would the "crack" be?

As a measurement of the probable Depth of Recession, we selected the “loss of service and control” in a “G20- type country” system, rather than by using the usual financial indicators. As a matter of fact, the review of 200 years of socio-economic history clearly shows that finance and societal well-being do not always precisely follow the same time scales.

We used simple terms to define the damage, to allow readers to easily get a mental image of what we meant when we defined the various increasing levels of “loss of service and control” as follows:


1. The Blues, which corresponds in our case to the Status Quo, i.e. the state of affairs in November 2008, i.e. wide-spread budget cuts in the non- key services, for example, starting with culture, the arts, then spreading to to education; some protests and visible, newsworthy discontentment;

2. Generalized Poverty, high rate of unemployment (up to 10%-12%), poor to non-existent maintenance of civil systems, reduced health programs, reduction of salaries of public officers, increased protests, some criminality increase, and some increase in the level of violence;

3. Severe Impoverishment, extreme rate of unemployment (over 12%), severe reductions of public transportation offered, gradual replacement of police forces with armed forces patrolling, reduction of state-managed retirement plans, with more widespread and vociferous generalized protests and criminality increase, significantly escalating levels of violence;

4. Catastrophic Disruption (of Order and Quality of Life), global rioting, wide-spread criminality and sacking, and critical loss of control.


Reportedly, some countries in the G20 group had already passed the Status Quo level one year ago, but as we were developing this study for a “generalized” country within the group, we did not focus our attention on those particular cases.

Using the above four "Depth Of Recession" categories, it appears that a country in:

TB: the Blues, can be considered as a lightly damaged system;

GP: Generalized Poverty can be considered as in critical state, but still functioning; while a country having -

SI: Severe Impoverishment or CD: Catastrophic Disruption can be considered as in a “failed system state”.


The paucity of available data, quite common in our practice in any industry we work for, did not deter us from defining probabilities (which of course were not based on "proper" statistics, as they were not available).

To do the job, we used specific methods we have developed in the past (Appendix 2 in “Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk & Crisis Management" F. Oboni & C. Oboni, ISBN 978-0-9784462-0-8”, 2007), and used for many years while performing risk assessments around the world for a wide array of industries, but ironically, never for banks.


Based on the criteria that “the future does not equate to the past”, we adjusted historical durations and rates of occurrence, taking into account possible compounding of the (then) present recession with other future potential crises, such as oil reserves depletion and water scarcity, climate changes, and certain other variables which would have to, of necessity, be included in a forecasting model.

Interestingly enough, several months prior to the publication of this article, many people were beginning to speak about a possible “double dip” recession.

[Series To Be Continued]

- This article was written by internationally-acclaimed risk evaluation expert Dr. Franco Oboni, and edited by Douglas Castle for The National Networker Newsletter.


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RISK AND REALITY: Part 1: Updating Our Prediction, One Year Later -- After The Fall Of Lehman Brothers


Risk and Reality
with Dr. Franco Oboni

International Risk Assessment & Mitigation Strategies Consultant
foboni@riskope.com
www.riskope.com
Riskope Risk and Crisis Management Blog: http://foboni.wordpress.com/

www.slideshares.net/foboni
www.youtube.com/foboni

Note: We at TNNW are delighted to welcome back Dr. Franco Oboni, a highly-regarded international risk assessment and management consultant and his Featured Column: RISK AND REALITY. We urge you to read Dr. Oboni every month.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Historical Fact: On 14-15 Sept 2008, Lehman Brothers went down in flames.

In the aftermath of Lehman Brothers crash, we published, on the internet, a forecast of the crisis' anticipated “duration and magnitude”.

Interestingly, only a handful of contacts asked us for clarification, or to provide further details regarding the scale of consequences we had applied in making this forecast (i.e., is it linked to stock markets?... to financial indicators?)...

Perhaps, no one believed that reasonable predictions could actually be made, or that the initial event was merely "an aberration".

As we were publishing our prediction, we were indeed already seeing in the media statements reporting that “quantitative models were wrong” and other equally dismissive or inflammatory statements. As usual, in panic/emergency situations, our society tends to react with little finesse (which is, by the way one reason why Crisis Management Plans are so important to implement BEFORE a crisis).

“Models” as a whole were discredited in the eyes of many readers and “forecasters”, and anyone who actually believed that events could be inferred or anticipated using modeling were then then seen as pariahs and became personae non grata.

Apparently no one bothered to differentiate among different types and qualities of models, i.e., to say that “some models” are plainly wrong or had been very poorly used, but that others could be quite accurate if applied properly.

No one mentioned that maybe some ruthless people in the past had abused models in order to get the replies or predetermined outcomes that they wanted (we have seen the same happen in fields as different from financial forecasts as humanitarian Deming, and we have even published papers on this subject as well as others).

In the next issues we will summarize our prediction as it was made a bit over one year ago immediately after the fall of the venerable House Of Lehman, and we will analyze how it has actually stood up, having had one additional year of history behind us to evaluate it.

-- Franco Oboni

For more information, please visit Franco's TNNW Bio.


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BLUE THING #10: BACKTALK: Comments From Our Readers

BACKTALK™: Comments From Our ReadersYour Feedback. Your Input. Your Turn.

NEW: At the bottom of every TNNW article, we now feature a "click-on" COMMENT ON THIS ARTICLE button. We want your opinion on every article and every author!

Be a part of our growing GICBC -- our GLOBAL INTERNETWORKED COOPERATIVE BUSINESS COMMUNITY.


COMMENT On This Article!

Here are some of your comments on our recent TNNW articles:


Beth Barany:
Daily RSS Submission
Books are Here to Stay

"You're right -- books are here to stay even though the 'medium' is changing. An author can be a subject matter expert or a fiction story teller, but the medium they promote their writing from is essentially a 'book.' "With all the proliferation of books, ebooks and more, promoting a book as a product and making your message stand out from the crowd is critical. "Starting with a unique, compelling and clever Web or book-oriented Micro site is an effective technique to elaborate and entice viewers to find out more and order the book (in whatever format they choose!) Burick Communication Design can help by creating that one-of-a-kind visually distinctive web presence for a new book introduction. "Combined with an effective social media and marketing campaign it will provide positive analytics and stronger sales volume than a do-it-yourself solution strategy that loses credibility and effectiveness. "Visit this example from the 2009 Arizona Kidney Foundations Authors Luncheon featuring Larry King as MC and see what the magic of a well-executed Micro site can do! "http://www.ermabombeckauthorsluncheon.org/"
- Eileen Burick, President, Burick Communication Design, eileen@burick.com 602-866-3305 voice | 602-357-3245 fax | 602-363-9291 cell




Teri Aulph
: Beyond the Cubicle - Corporate Culture
Culturally speaking...are you where you need to be?

"
I agree with Terri about the importance of company culture. But I do not believe that many companies use culture (or the employees personality) as a basis for hiring. If they did you would find your workforce to much more highly engaged. To me, the company culture is one of the 3 primary ingredients of an engaged workforce. The other two are the leadership styles practiced in the organization and the employee expectations. "Thanks for a well done article..."
- Dave Meyer

"Dave, you are correct in saying few companies use corporate culture as a criteria when hiring. Too many look only at the resume and the professionalism of the interview. Employee assessments are available (I sell them) that measure how well someone will fit in based on culture, including whether the company is managed using traditional or contemporary styles."
- Rick Weaver




Douglas Castle
: This Might Hurt
"Who are you and Why are you here?" - THE NEED TO STATE YOUR MISSION

"
What a great article. Too often, we mask our lack of professionalism with obfuscatory language and verbal palliatives. This is especially true in education where a lack of a defined body of knowledge is explained by inane buzzwords and catch phrases, neither of which address the primary question 'Why can't Johnny read?' "I believe the same is true for management consultants, where as you know, there as as many theories of effective management as there are grains of sand. "Doctors, lawyers and accountants deal with a concrete body of knowledge. Often the situation 'is what it is' and lends itself to rational explanation. One can therefore expect a quantifiable outcome. "Not so however, when dealing with abstractions; ie. management consultants or educators where outcomes are less certain and therefore less measurable. "Business owners must learn to discriminate between 'buzzword speak' and reality. That means looking at your business and asking 'Just what do I want this consultant to do for me?'. More sales, more business. Not his job! The consultant must be able to examine your structure and help define a practical course of remediation which makes sense for you. "You've often laughed when I ask 'what's your point?' Now you know why."
- Gabriel Seigel, guitarman1811@aol.com



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BLUE THING #9: This Week's Top Buzzed Items and Terms

This Week's Top Buzzed Items and Terms

Click on: http://TheNationalNewspickerPage.blogspot.com

Pick on: http://TheNationalNewspickerPage.blogspot.com - Get all the news, info and intel that you need in order to be far ahead of the curve. We are green, environmentally-compliant, eco-friendly, bio-degradable, and emit no CO2 or other greenhouse gases. We do not emit dangerous radiation, gamma waves, tidal waves or other similar things which could potentially cause disease or fatality (even dealth!) amongst our readers, or which could destroy our planet. We don't permit our employees to even walk on other people's lawns. Our company automobiles are run on electricity or ethanol, as do some of our senior staff members. We love the Earth. Choose the Picker --Save the Planet!

Now featuring the Rede Report Blog from the NEW YORK TIMES.




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THE NATIONAL NEWSPICKER PAGE - The wearin' o' the green. 'taint just blarney, Old Son. Sing along if you know the song..."everybody's doin' it, doin' it, doin' it..."

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BLUE THING #8: Great Websites and Blogs to Explore

Great Websites and Blogs to Explore

HAVE A LOOK AT THESE INTERESTING WEBSITES!

BUT FIRST, our newest service is up and live. Yes...it's alive! BUZZWORKS! Visit at http://tnnwc-tnnwbuzzworks.blogspot.com .

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http://www.cincinnati-transit.net/subway.html
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http://www.mainstreet.com/slideshow/small-business/most-entrepreneur-friendly-states?cm_ven=MSSU
http://englishscholar.com/
http://www.recombinantrecords.net/docs/2009-09-Part-of-Nature.html
http://TheInternationalistPage.blogspot.com
http://braintenance.blogspot.com/

NOTE: Sites are selected based upon merit by an unbiased* panel of judges. Regrettably, we cannot accept payment for the placement of your site here. Darn.

*At least in their own opinion.

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KENSEL TRACY: Welcome to Awareness, Advocacy and Leadership For Women in Canada


By Kensel Tracy

The Canadian Federation of Business and Professional Women’s Clubs (BPW Canada) develops the professional and leadership potential of women in Canada through education, awareness, advocacy and mentoring within a supportive network. Located in almost every major city in Canada, BPW is a major networking group for women in Canada.

The mission is to achieve a just and equal status of women in all levels and areas of society where decisions are taken in true partnership with men, based on mutual respect, for a more balanced and peaceful world. Founded in 1930, BPW Canada is part of the International Federation of Business and Professional Women, with clubs in more than 100 countries around the world.

The membership model revolves around four key areas of activity, including:
  • Awareness, advocacy and action
  • Leadership skills and career advancement
  • Personal development
  • Supportive networking and lasting friendships
The goal is the improvement of economic, political, social and employment conditions for women in Canada. The bottom line is to work to educate and empower women in Canada.

Membership in BPW offers many opportunities and many benefits to working women. Their advocacy work gives women a chance to be involved in the key issues that affect women in Canada and around the world. Clubs provide a “training ground” for developing leadership skills in a safe and supportive environment, allowing members to build networks and create lasting friendships. Members participate in a range of activities that lead to personal and professional development and career advancement.

A member of a local club is automatically also a member of the district, national, provincial, and international organizations. She is entitled to attend all events, including national and international conferences. She is also entitled to be part of BPW Canada’s delegation to the Commission on the Status of Women at the United Nations in New York each February.

Click here to contact The Canadian Federation of Business and Professional Women’s Clubs.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Kensel Tracy is the Marketing Coach at The Corporate Coachworkz Inc.in Chelsea, Quebec and is the President of Business Over Breakfast Networking Clubs in North America, now opening in every city in North America. He can be reached at kenselt@sympatico.ca. If you have a story of interest send it along.


For more information, please visit Kensel's TNNW Bio.

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BLUE THING #7: Most Memorable Quote of the Week

Most Memorable Quote of the Week

Brought to you by The National Networker and QuoteActions.


"God gave men both a penis and a brain, but unfortunately not enough blood supply to run both at the same time."


- Comedian, Robin Williams






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BLUE THING #6: Featured Deal of the Week

Featured Deal of the Week

Featured Deal of the Week is brought to you by The National Networker and CEO Space Northeast.

TO ALL OF OUR TNNW READERS:

Would You Like To Have Your Company Featured Here?


Whether or not you belong to CEO Space (which you should), you are invited to tell us about your Greatest Deal for our consideration. If it's truly great, we'll write it up! Your victory will be seen by and shared with thousands and thousands of readers and prospective customers and clients. Simply write to info@TheNationalNetworker.blogspot.com


Dixie Daly is Tickled Pink to share her WIN

Tickled Pink Boutique will be attending The Locker 2 Locker event in Miami with the NFL Wife's, a project born at the CEO Space 1209 Forum. She will be launching Pink Chocolate, Pink Pet Shampoo (Pink-A-Bella) and a clothing line!

http://www.Tickledpinkboutique.com

The Art of a WIN

Artist Lucretia Torva from Phoenix, Arizona and CEO Space GRAD, in the care of Sian Design, Creative Business Development, now has two original commissions in the 2010 Pipeline for January. A new, ready for acquisition art collection and a recent show successfully completed. She has a full team, biz plan drafted and magic folder in the hand of multiple patrons after only 30 days under contract.

http://www.evecustomart.com

http://www.siandesign.com


Return To Honor WIN

Don Kirchner has a new blog post on Return To Honor website. For most people who are weary of seeing their lives constantly on a roller coaster controlled by someone else, or feeling helpless to do anything meaningful in their lives, they should visit this website and blog space. They will feel encouragement and the promise of greater personal freedom through better choices. http://returntohonor.org/wordpress/?p=85

Kathryn Booth


Deal of the Week

As a way of saying thanks to everyone @ CEOSPACE for an awesome week, StickySheets is offering 50% off to anyone who uses the code CEOSPACE! Tell your friends! Sticky Sheets - Award Winning Pet Hair Removal Product http://www.stickysheets.com

Drake Boley




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BLUE THING #5: Featured Company of the Week

Featured Company of the Week


Featured Company of the Week is brought to you by The National Networker and CEO Space Northeast.

Hummingbird Studios is Helping Abused Women through Stained Glass

Hummingbird Studios: Photographic artwork to inspire the spirit and refresh the soul. Beautiful, award-winning photographic prints. Easy on the eyes. Ideal for your home or office. And now for a great cause as well.

For years Hummingbird Studios has offered award-winning photographic artwork for home decor and gift giving. Now, Hummingbird Studios is helping abused women through stained glass.

Adversity has served Phyllis Walker well: this award-winning photographer took up the art after undergoing eye surgery in order to save a massive detached retina. As her talent and passion for photography grew, Phyllis formed her own one-woman business, Hummingbird Studios.

Hummingbird Studios has made a name for itself as a provider of quality photographic prints both naitonally and abroad. And that fame has only served to underscore Walker's personal mission: to combine art, advocacy and entrepreneurship in order to help empower survivors of domestic violence who are transitioning forward with their lives. As Phyllis is active in domestic violence awareness and prevention programs in Georgia, a percentage of sales from matted (and optionally framed) Hummingbird Studios prints goes to a fund to help women who have been abused.

Now, Hummingbird Studios is helping abused women through stained glass as well. The "Stained Glass" gallery on the Hummingbird Studios web site consists of photographic details from sanctuary windows of historic churches in Georgia. A percentage of sales from these prints will be allocated to each church's community outreach program. The "Special Collection and Limited Edition" galleries feature some of Phyllis’ larger-sized prints.

Beautiful, award-wining photographic prints from Hummingbird Studios. Reflecting the beauty and harmony of nature, our open-edition prints are available in your choice of ivory or black mats. Each piece is signed and dated by the photographer.

And now, Hummingbird Studios is Helping Abused Women through Stained glass.

Phyllis latest accomplishment is the creation of a specialty line entitled "Cathedral Lights" which presents a series of sanctuary stained glass prints made available to anyone with a passion for sacred art. A number of churches throughout the state of Georgia granted Phyllis permission to enter their sacred halls and capture the stained glass beauty within. A percentage of profits derived from sales of these prints will be contributed toward various ministries associated with each church.

Every time a beautiful photographic print is purchased, Hummingbird Studios gives something back to the community by supporting this very worthwhile cause.

So remember, Hummingbird Studios is Helping Abused Women through Stained glass and more.

The many accolades extended to Hummingbird Studios include a recent First Place, Second Place, and Honorable Mention at the "2000 Southeastern Flower Show" held in Atlanta.

Photographs that speak volumes.

The Hummingbird Studios portfolio showcases a variety of subjects that range from the simple to the spiritual including a wonderful selection of still life that includes subjects that speak volumes. The subject matter that speaks to Phyllis includes plants, flowers, butterflies, fireworks, and other images from nature.

Hummingbird Studios photographic prints - be they still life or stained glass - add balance and texture to the home or office. Ideal for single wall-placement or arrange several into a larger setting. Photographic artwork to inspire the spirit and refresh the soul. Beautiful, award-winning photographic prints. Easy on the eyes. Ideal for your home or office.

A Few Words About Size

- Conventional mat dimensions in 8x10 and 11x14 make frame selection a simple and budget-friendly process.

- Mat colors are available in ivory or black, to harmonize with general decorative schemes.

All in stock items are shipped within three business days of receipt of your order. For international shipping please contact Hummingbird Studios for shipping charges. Contact Phyllis via Hummingbird Studios with specific questions regarding individual and multiple orders.

Hummingbird Studios: Photographic artwork to inspire the spirit and refresh the soul. Beautiful, award-winning photographic prints. Easy on the eyes. Ideal for your home or office. And now for a great cause as well.

For further information on Hummingbird Studios please contact:

Phyllis Walker, Hummingbird Studios at hummingbirdlady@bellsouth.net

http://www.hummingbird-studios.com




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Sunday, January 03, 2010

VENTURE FINANCE - REALITY VERSUS RUMOR: Outside, Looking In

Venture Finance - Reality versus Rumor
with Dick Brown

Entrepreneurs are asked: “Where do you plan to get funding for your venture?”

Most give the same response, “Venture Capital companies”.

Yet, not one entrepreneur in ten knows anything about this financial industry nor how it works. The following (along with a few “rules of the road”) may help.

Venture Capital companies invest OPM (Other People’s Money).

Investors give money to the VC’s to earn a higher return-on-investment than more traditional investments such as the stock market or bonds. The VC’s role is to make as much money as possible while assuming prudent risks. Their target is a very high ROI. Venture Capital became a fledgling US “happening” in the 1950's … initially financed by wealthy individuals and small investor syndicates.

Not so long ago, there was only one venture capital company, American Research and Development in Boston, founded in 1946 by Ralph Flanders, president of Boston’s Federal Reserve Bank and General George Doriot, a native of France who taught at the Harvard Business School and had served with the American Army in World War II.

Early on, AR&D made a modest investment of some $70,000 (for 77% of the company!) in a then unknown computer company known as Digital Equipment Corporation. Their modest investment blossomed into a value of some $100 million as Digital flourished.

AR&D caught a lot of attention in the staid, New England banking community. The potential for huge profits soon spawned a number of new, copycat VC’s and the formation of these became a major sport in the US financial community. In just a few years, it was estimated that there were 725 VC’s operating in the US … up from 507 only three years earlier.

Why this breakneck growth? The average annual return on VC funds was 48%, 40%, and 36% for 1995, 1996 and 1997 respectively … and, the industry as a whole had averaged 13.1 percent annual returns over two decades … Not too shabby to the existing bankers used to financing cars, boats and houses. Private equity such as VC’s became the fastest growing market for corporate finance.


Venture capital really blossomed until “Black Friday”, 14 April 2000, when the Internet craze crashed and the NASDAQ composite index dropped by 355.49 points. Analysts and investors wrote off the IPO market as retail and institutional investors quickly wised up to the game. The halcyon days of B2C’s and B2B’s that acquired market cap values greater than Ford Motors came to a shrieking halt.

Today, VC’s have bounced back, even in our current recession. Although venture capitalists now longer pour money into “the Internet”, it is now earmarked for different kinds of companies. The actual industry targets change constantly, but the “acid test” is:

  1. The ability of a company to grow rapidly;
  2. To dominate or be a major factor in a specific market segment; and,
  3. Be attractive for an IPO - so the VC’s and their investors can cash out and “get liquid”.

Rule 1: If your company doesn’t have these characteristics, VC’s are not interested.

All VC funds seek very high ROI’s where there is inherently more risk than with other investments. In the early days of venture capital, if you traced back the actual source of the working capital you would quickly find that most of it came from wealthy families such as the Rockefellers and Rothschilds. Today, the great majority of money going into venture capital funds comes from institutional investors.

In any VC fund, part of the capital may come from the VC’s inside partners and some of the money will usually come from wealthy, private individuals or institutions that probably made a great return on their last investment with the same VC fund.

It’s not a game for the small investor. For instance, the minimum investment for a limited partner in Highland Capital Partners in Boston is $10 million.

The traditional hunting ground of VC’s has always been high-tech and its cousin, biotech. These markets are attractive since they are:

    • Volatile and rapidly changing,
    • Founded on continuing advances in leading edge technology,
    • “Non-traditional” industries with few entrenched leaders. (It’s much easier to form an Apple, Netscape or Amazon.com from a industry void than it is to try to dislodge market share from traditional corporations (“gorillas”) such as US Steel, General Electric or Prudential Life Insurance.

Today’s VC’s are also interested in “derivative” and newer, emerging markets, such as “Green Products”

Rule 2: If your company doesn’t have “hot products in hot markets”, VC’s are not interested.

You and I Start a VC firm - Probably we both have had successful, management careers (maybe in high tech) and have made money for friends, outsiders and ourselves in a couple of our career stops. We know some of these people have faith in our judgment and they have funds to invest.

First, we form a type of company known as a Limited Partnership (LP). You and I are the General (or Managing) Partners and our investors are the Limited Partners. As the name implies, the investors’ losses are limited to the amount they choose to invest. The situation is very different for you and me. An LP is not the same as a corporation. As the Managing Partners in an LP as, we can be held personally liable for anything we do that is criminal, stupid or ill advised. We can also be on the hook for the liabilities of the LP. Newer forms of companies, such as a Limited Liability Partnership (LLP) limit the extent of this personal exposure.

Let’s say we plan to start “small”” and our first fund will be only $10,000,000 of investors’ money. Just as any entrepreneurs, we plan get this money from friends and insiders. We work on their expectations that our expertise and VC fund will outperform almost any other investment they may consider. We may invest some of our personal money as well. Our sales job is to get the $10 million and this usually takes us 3-6 months, along with a great deal of legal work.

As Managing Partners, you and I earn a management fee, usually 2% (and unusually as high as 5%) or $200,000 to $500,000. This takes care of our initial salaries, expenses and the outrageously expensive offices that most VC’s occupy, from Sand Hill Road in Palo Alto to State Street in Boston. In addition, we receive 20% of the net profits of the fund (Most VC deals are "two and 20").

[Let’s say we’re a well-established VC creating a $1 billion fund with only a 2% fee. That’s a whopping $20 million fee. Most mature VC companies have around 10 partners. If half the fee goes to overhead and the rest is split amongst the partners, that’s $1 million each!]

The split of the profits from the fund is determined in the partnership agreement and each one may be somewhat different. Since we’re new VC’s, maybe you and I don’t begin to profit from the investment side until all our investors make money. Or, maybe part of our management fee must be repaid first or deducted from our long-term gains.

The VC company management earns a fee on all the profits. This is called the “carry”, the percentage of the return on their limited partners investment that they collect.

As a “rule of thumb” the VC Company typically keeps some 20% of the profits from the investments, with 80% going to the investors

As soon as we fully subscribe the fund we want to begin making investments. Our investors did not give us their cash so it could sit in a bank. They get very unhappy if we don’t actively make investments.

[Incidentally, when Limited Partners subscribe to a fund, they do not usually write a check for the entire amount. If they are old, trusted LP’s, they may just be called from time to time for specific amounts for specific deals. However, they are expected to immediately respond, without delay, and fulfill their commitment. The consequences of not meeting a “capital call” can be severe, including the loss of any capital previously committed.]

More typically, LP’s may sign a subscription agreement, pledging to invest specific amounts at specific times (e.g. $2 million a quarter for 2 years). These are also called “tranches” or installment payments.

As new VC’s we have a predilection to make investments in companies and technology that we already understand. Our first checks will probably be written to companies we already know or to kinsmen that are starting new ventures or need additional funding.

Since our “kitty” is only $10,000,000 we set a limit of the amount we’ll invest in any deal. Let’s say it’s 5% or $500,000 for each deal. So, we can do a maximum of 20 deals (also establishing a budget for our “troubled” investments that will require additional capital). As prudent risk takers, by spreading our money into several investments we have limited the chance of losing everything with a single, bad decision. We will also cap the minimum amount we’ll invest in any one venture since our time is valuable and limited as we always become involved in our investments, usually as directors.

Rule 3: If your company is looking for “small money” (say less than $500,000 for a new or “boutique” VC or much more for a large firm), VC’s are not interested.

Early in our venture fund, we’ll probably go into several “syndicated” deals where two or more, unrelated, VC funds all invest in the same venture. Often one of the groups, the lead investor, will perform the overall due diligence and negotiations. We all split up the investment required and then we pick one or two of the different VC people to sit on the board of directors to watch our money.

Such pooling of funds is very attractive for us. We get to know a lot of other VC’s and industry executives. We learn more as we begin to be asked to participate in deals where we don’t have direct expertise. We begin to sit on many boards of directors and we get to know people that are directors and officers in multiple companies.

Rule 4: If the people in your company don’t know any VC’s (or, have friends in other companies already financed by VC’s), VC’s will not be interested. The “club” despises outsiders.

We learn even more about different businesses. Even better, we get to know a very large number of people, some very rich and powerful. We’re beginning to become members in an intriguing, worldwide club. We love it!

Next, we want to expand our VC business. How do we do that?

We start another fund.

In the VC business, once an individual fund is fully invested, that fund is closed to any new investors. Therefore, each time a VC wants to raise more investment money, they must start a new fund. The participants in each fund may be very different people or companies ... and, if we didn’t do very well for our investors in our last fund, this is a certainty!

Such partnership funds also have a specified, fixed life … usually ten years.

We have to make money for our investors since our ability to start new funds is directly related to our past performance. If we have poor performance in a couple of our funds, we may not be able to raise money for the third and following ones. We are always looking for new money from investors and trying to get the largest ROI for our current investors.

Sound familiar? VC’s have exactly the same problem running their business as you do. VC’s even go out of business if they make some really bad investment decisions. Ain’t capitalism wonderful?

As new VC’s, you and I are very sensitive about our investment decisions. We hear from our investors (passionately and loudly) when we make bad decisions. This is not a pleasant occurrence.

Our investors are looking for “home runs”. This is not really surprising since we probably promised the long-ball when we originally took their money.

We discover a wonderful way to cover our butts for those of our investments that might turn out to be only singles ... or, God forbid, strikeouts.

We probably decide never to go into a deal as the sole investor and we develop a preferred list of the VC’s as our potential partners. Not surprising, this wish list probably contains all the larger VC players. Usually, one of these assumes the monitoring role for each investment and this way we can avoid becoming directors. Also, we don’t have the staff, time and money to watch anything outside our limited geographical area.

Rule 5: If your company is in an area that has few VC’s and/or would require significant travel time/expense for any to visit you, VC’s are not interested.

Now, if one of these deals goes bad and our investors’ call to complain, we can always say:

“Look, the guys from LF Rothschild brought us into that deal. They knew the principals from an earlier venture. LFR did all the due diligence and promised us a major success. Even Sevin-Rosen came in as an investor. It really isn’t our mistake.”

Thus we neatly transfer the blame from us to LFR and avoid an angry investor in our fund. And that, my friends, is exactly why there are so many “shared deals” and so few with a sole VC involved.

“Success has many fathers. Defeat is an orphan.”

This lemming principle ... “it’s all the fault of that crazy rat in front!” ... extends far beyond just the sharing of investment positions. VC’s all read the same trade magazines and they share nearly exactly same perceptions of many industries and what companies/products are hot or cold.

Rule 6: Raising money for areas that are “off the radar” (unknown) or perceived to be cold by VC’s is very difficult.

This is just a beginning along with a few rules for “The VC Game”.


Dick Brown is President/Founder of American World, a consulting company that helps entrepreneurs that are seeking capital. He has known dozens of these folks and has written or reviewed hundreds of Business Plans. He is author/publisher of two books - “How to Raise Money, the Truth”, a “how-to” for entrepreneurs and “The PC Revolution, an Anarchist’s Journal”, a first-person history that exposes the people and events that created the most brutal upheaval in the history of the computer industry. When it ended, giants such as Digital, Data General and Wang were out of business. Dick was an active participant. He knew all the players and lived with them throughout the insurrection.

Web:
http://www.amerwld.com/
Email:
dick@amerwld.com

Dick’s books and more information are available at: http://www.amerwld.com/

For more information, please visit Dick's TNNW Bio.

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The Emergence of the Relationship Economy features TNNWC Founder, Adam J. Kovitz as a contributing author and contains some of his early work on The Laws of Relationship Capital. The book is available in hardcopy and e-book formats. With a forward written by Doc Searls (of Cluetrain Manifesto fame), it is considered a "must read" for anyone responsible for the strategic direction of their business. If you would like to purchase your own copy, please click the image above.

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